A disaster analyst models the number of homes impacted by wildfires as a Poisson distribution with a mean of 12 homes per day. What is the probability that exactly 10 homes are impacted on a given day?

Tue, 05 May 2026 21:31:49 +0000

A disaster analyst models the number of homes impacted by wildfires using a Poisson distribution, a powerful statistical tool that helps forecast low-frequency but high-impact events. With climate pressures increasing, understanding how many homes might be affected on any given day has become critical for both emergency planning and personal awareness. Using a mean rate of 12 homes per day, the model estimates the likelihood of specific daily outcomes—such as exactly 10 homes being impacted—providing valuable insight into risk patterns. This approach reflects growing interest in data-driven resilience, reflecting conversations among communities, researchers, and policy planners across the U.S